Polymarket Trader

0x8C97DF17AA2052B743F94455DB627061775667ae-1770464692506

0x8c97df17aa2052b743f94455db627061775667ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.4
Realized PnL: $3.97
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.2
Potential profit: $205.2
User PnL: -$10.26

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $153.5
Potential profit: $153.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.54
Potential profit: $147.54
User PnL: -$10.18

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.57
Potential profit: $104.57
User PnL: -$14.64

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.18
Potential profit: $99.18
User PnL: -$8.19

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $86.32
Potential payout: $98.93
Potential profit: $12.61
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $80.33

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.66
Potential profit: $77.66
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.78
Potential profit: $36.78
User PnL: -$18.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.37

Sabres position

Blue Jackets vs. Sabres

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.84

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.99

Nets position

Kings vs. Nets

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.59

Grizzlies position

Jazz vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.62

Hornets position

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

Thunder position

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Bulls

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Raptors position

Pacers vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Celtics position

Warriors vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Suns position

Thunder vs. Suns

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.65

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.77

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.74

Celtics position

Timberwolves vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.41

Jets position

Sharks vs. Jets

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

Yes 6.1% 98.93 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Yes 6.4% 77.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 153.5 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 6.9% 147.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 5% 205.2 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Yes 8.3% 99.18 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?

Yes 14% 104.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 94% 56.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

Yes 49.4% 36.78 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

No 21% 42.24 shares
Sharks vs. Jets

Jets 60% 53.65 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Yes 58% 34.09 shares