Polymarket Trader

Po1yBot-wfDDVt3EQS

0x8ca40fa0a0c2d5a145bc307382b329fcf9d47e83

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $257.69
Realized PnL: $438.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $347.04
Potential profit: $344.95
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $61.93
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $155.46
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $11.93

No position

Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $32.15
Potential payout: $214.36
Potential profit: $182.21
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $14.22
Potential payout: $36.47
Potential profit: $22.25
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $32.65
Potential profit: $28.57
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $25.37
Potential profit: $15.61
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $15.11
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $15.55
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $15.53
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $13.23
Potential payout: $15.47
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $14.74
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.45

No position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $10.57
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $12.09
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.09

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $10.88
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $10.65
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $8.42
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $6.39
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.71

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.98

No position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.73

Delaware Fightin Blue Hens position

Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. New Mexico State Aggies

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.01

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.97

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.01

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Nemiga position

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Michigan State Spartans position

Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.17

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.84

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.77

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

No position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.53

SpaceX position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Arkansas Razorbacks position

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

Team Liquid position

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Nemiga position

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Yes 38% 24.89 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 69% 0.05 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Yes 4.8% 5.68 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 62% 32.52 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 29% 29.9 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 29% 2.75 shares
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 70% 14.29 shares
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Yes 39% 0.48 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 79% 0.81 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Yes 36% 15.55 shares