Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $259.68
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $62.9
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$40.32
Polymarket Trader
0x8cb1758F45591762736930a6C21049e24b82d1BC-1769795084322
0x8cb1758f45591762736930a6c21049e24b82d1bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $723.93
- Realized PnL
- $228.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $100.67
- Potential payout
- $102.67
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $99.6
- Potential payout
- $100.86
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $94.84
- Potential payout
- $100.2
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.16
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $59.67
- Potential payout
- $60.06
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$48.25
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.01
- Potential profit
- $21.01
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.34
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.97
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Over position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?No 88.2% 113.38 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?Yes 99.9% 60.06 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?No 99.8% 100.2 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No 98.9% 50.56 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No 99.8% 100.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 99.3% 59.97 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No 99.9% 490.49 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 95% 10.53 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No 99.4% 50.3 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.4% 102.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No 99.8% 377.82 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No 98.2% 203.67 shares