Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $50.29
- Potential payout
- $3.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$249.7
Polymarket Trader
0x8cc21C6ac286409D24Dad291Ac50D86339b264dE-1774538885082
0x8cc21c6ac286409d24dad291ac50d86339b264de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $518.92
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$200.11
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $141.5
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$116.5
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $284.02
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$15.98
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $804.09
- Potential profit
- $804.09
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $38.21
- Potential payout
- $509.5
- Potential profit
- $471.28
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$42.79
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 15.9% 509.5 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.7% 1,035.36 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Yes 6.6% 1,510.66 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 12% 833.33 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 19% 526.32 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 46% 217.39 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 15% 1,053.33 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 36% 277.78 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Yes 6% 1,750 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 1,670.71 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 2,690.19 shares