Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $205.71
- Potential payout
- $302.52
- Potential profit
- $96.81
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
0x8ccf...e4e6
0x8ccfaa2096edbb853648e448a2271bfc85b7e4e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $205.71
- Realized PnL
- -$54.99
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.7
- Potential profit
- $48.7
- User PnL
- -$45.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $105.19
No position
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Yes position
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$181.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?Yes 93.3% 48.7 shares
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 17.9% 262.86 shares
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 87% 262.86 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?No 99.7% 232.62 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?No 95.8% 232.62 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?No 99.3% 227.03 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?No 90% 221.47 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 85% 238.65 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?No 90% 5.57 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.5% 23.91 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 68% 293.74 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 238.65 shares