Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $39.29
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$10.71
Polymarket Trader
Ethan99999
0x8cd15c4fabb837c3707e4dafc4958f4e4424ea75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.95K
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $293.44
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $38.8
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $177.33
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $985.47
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $77.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $722.22
- Potential profit
- $722.22
- User PnL
- -$205
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.35
- Potential profit
- $337.35
- User PnL
- -$173.33
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.9
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.99
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $50.18
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.98
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $30.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.51
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $15.13
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 11PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.12
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 82.2% 695.5 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 78% 128.21 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 85% 70.57 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 85% 100 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 67% 200 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 24% 208.33 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 2,380.95 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 1,162.79 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 49.8% 2,008.03 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 88.5% 1,160.97 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 999.98 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 80% 500 shares