Polymarket Trader

0x8CD21CCf7a1FB87F0c36dD505bFF4C1E2cdc04a0-1775705321954

0x8cd21ccf7a1fb87f0c36dd505bff4c1e2cdc04a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.1K
Realized PnL: $672.5
Win rate: 60.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$27.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.36
Potential profit: $443.36
User PnL: -$96.08

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $21.83
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $23.18
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $4.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.87

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$96.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 53.6% 1,864.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 94.4% 105.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 88% 28.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Up 87% 114.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Up 81% 32.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Up 76% 32.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 39% 270 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Yes 21.7% 443.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 25.9% 371.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 37% 14.32 shares