Polymarket Trader

0x8CE3f27Cf3D607845cC4601aDf39356b7CB5ee04-1781271763111

0x8ce3f27cf3d607845cc4601adf39356b7cb5ee04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $231.87
Realized PnL: $44.53
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $113.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $286.04
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $13.96

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.34
Potential profit: $389.34
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.92
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $147.8
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$6.29

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $88.64
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $10.98
Potential payout: $93.46
Potential profit: $82.48
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $75.08
Potential profit: $64.19
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $26.94
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $28.61
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.12
Potential profit: $44.12
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $10.86
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $23.62
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $9.22
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $10.76
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $6.19
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.42

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.45

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 25% 400 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 32% 83.33 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 21% 476.19 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 93.46 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 68% 147.06 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 108.7 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 0.25 shares