Polymarket Trader

knoa

0x8cf3922a36525a00a5182e6c2b5354768650ca4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.98
Realized PnL: $453.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.77
Potential profit: $187.77
User PnL: -$37.31

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.24
Potential profit: $181.24
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.75
Potential profit: $91.75
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.97
Potential profit: $79.97
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.27
Potential profit: $65.27
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.3
Potential profit: $53.3
User PnL: -$13.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $19.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$11.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.95
Potential profit: $19.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.3

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.19

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.17

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?

Yes 25% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?

Yes 99.9% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?

Yes 7% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?

Yes 6% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?

Yes 9% 21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?

No 96.2% 28.79 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 83.33 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 16% 499.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 9?

Yes 20% 10 shares