No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Polymarket Trader
SimpleFacks
0x8cf9ba531772a40648b6c691309069446814615d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.01
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sweden qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 59 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 53 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 68% 54 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 87% 26 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 41% 68 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.9% 35 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 73% 48 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 72% 48 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 61% 51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 35 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96.1% 33 shares
- Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No 99.8% 39 shares