marcopolosrhino

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $418.28
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $73.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.9
Potential profit: $999.9
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $599.5
Potential payout: $768.59
Potential profit: $169.09
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $130.01

No position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $323.99
Potential payout: $526.81
Potential profit: $202.82
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $22.26

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $104.42
Potential payout: $453.01
Potential profit: $348.59
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $72.42

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $397.73
Potential profit: $393.95
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.28
Potential profit: $333.28
User PnL: -$1

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $258.35
Potential payout: $313.34
Potential profit: $54.99
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $8.35

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $56.46
Potential payout: $305.17
Potential profit: $248.71
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$76.54

No position

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $70.2
Potential payout: $292.5
Potential profit: $222.3
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $198.08
Potential payout: $269.5
Potential profit: $71.42
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$11.47

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $36.85
Potential payout: $248.17
Potential profit: $211.32
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $29.52

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $223.39
Potential payout: $246.84
Potential profit: $23.45
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $16.69

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $175.82
Potential payout: $218.4
Potential profit: $42.59
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.1
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.95
Potential profit: $199.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $17.57
Potential payout: $194.15
Potential profit: $176.58
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $188.1
Potential profit: $187.16
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $180.43
Potential profit: $180.16
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $14.11
Potential payout: $174.24
Potential profit: $160.13
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $164.42
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.19
Potential profit: $155.19
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $151.92
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $72.32

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.35

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.41

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.98

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.96

No position

Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.48

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.18

Brendan Allen position

UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET