Polymarket Trader

AbsoluteRadiance

@ffimnsr

0x8d056195b51ed960c9549628ddabe61026e43d09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.05
Realized PnL: $10.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the America Business Forum on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Steelers position

Dolphins vs. Steelers

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Lakers position

Jazz vs. Lakers

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Devils position

Devils vs. Capitals

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Suns position

Suns vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

No 99% 5.05 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)

BetBoom Team 74% 1.35 shares
Dolphins vs. Steelers

Steelers 62% 1.61 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 76% 2.63 shares
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Yes 68% 2.94 shares
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Yes 68% 2.94 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 94% 4.26 shares
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 96.6% 4.1 shares
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 87.8% 2.28 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?

Yes 82.6% 1.21 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?

Yes 91.3% 1.1 shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)

Team Spirit 88% 1.14 shares