No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.24K
- Potential profit
- $391.24K
- User PnL
- -$222.26K
Polymarket Trader
fastviking
0x8d0c615f5ed3c835016b96207b3f051eec7d5839
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147.11K
- Realized PnL
- $133.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.91K
- Potential profit
- $189.91K
- User PnL
- -$110.72K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.84K
- Potential profit
- $129.84K
- User PnL
- -$69.98K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.69K
- Potential profit
- $110.69K
- User PnL
- -$81.42K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $104.81K
- Potential payout
- $104.81K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $12.43K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.74K
- Potential profit
- $93.74K
- User PnL
- -$42.35K
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.16K
- Potential payout
- $85.86K
- Potential profit
- $77.7K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.57K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.98K
- Potential profit
- $61.98K
- User PnL
- -$49.43K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $650
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $3.48K
- Potential payout
- $7.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.12K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.54K
- Potential payout
- $6.58K
- Potential profit
- $42.79
- User PnL
- $853.07
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.48K
- Potential payout
- $6.48K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $86.04
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $3.15K
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $788.02
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $324.78
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $375
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $544
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $855
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $345
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $680.59
- Potential payout
- $726.35
- Potential profit
- $45.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $77.72
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $255.67
- Potential payout
- $285.67
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $47.13
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $9.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.87K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $979.34
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840
No position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.9
Tulane position
North Texas vs. Tulane
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.96
Patriots position
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 37% 2,445.41 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 38% 2,520 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 85% 7,003.8 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 54% 5,606.45 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 53% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 53% 3,439.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 90% 4,878.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 89% 8,545.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 87% 8,767.42 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 34% 736.21 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 65% 66.94 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 69% 4,447.04 shares