Polymarket Trader

fersendo

0x8d203acf068c1606b8c16906b6a1ede59f9488e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $868.87
Realized PnL: $2.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $215.91
Potential payout: $39.26K
Potential profit: $39.04K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$672.92

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $488.88
Potential payout: $19.25K
Potential profit: $18.76K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $188.89

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $28.15
Potential payout: $18.77K
Potential profit: $18.74K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$171.83

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $12.25K
User PnL: -$98

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $135.94
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $9.24K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$163.78

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12K
Potential profit: $7.12K
User PnL: -$101.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$101.1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $2.37K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 33.3% 7,684.86 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.4% 4,218.31 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.4% 7,117.44 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 12,250 shares
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 2.3% 705.25 shares
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

No 1.5% 400 shares
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 1,416.72 shares
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 1,441.72 shares
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 1.7% 519.95 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 3.6% 1,464.78 shares