Under position
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $633.68
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $431.33
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$218.32
Polymarket Trader
JohnBailey1046
@BernalDari48276
0x8d2450fb000b903dc652abca70b1ae508a6ea2e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $647.26
- Realized PnL
- $3.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.05
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.24
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.15
Yes position
Will "Epstein" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.97
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $197.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.4
Yes position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $167.45
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.63
Yes position
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150.45
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.8
No position
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $118.36
Yes position
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $115.81
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.24
Yes position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.3
No position
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.32
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.03
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.73
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.36
No position
Will Oregon and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.64
Eastern Illinois Panthers position
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.85
Yes position
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $68.1
No position
Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.84
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?No 88% 557 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 58% 344 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 35% 521 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 61% 344 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 41% 521 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 53% 227 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 53% 560 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?Yes 76% 8 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 42% 453 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 76% 787 shares
- Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No 11% 251 shares
- Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No 11% 280 shares