No position
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $27.88
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $40.12
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Polymarket Trader
0x2131023AD0E2dE92FDb69ae29976d9F8Ee3839d9-1770519162442
0x8d2e9e2cdb887bb5ee394b5c1043cfe8bf99d47e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $467.32
- Realized PnL
- -$0.7
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $55.74
- Potential payout
- $65.01
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $47.13
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $17.88
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $19.83
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $64
- User PnL
- -$17.92
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.3%
- Current value
- $33.14
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $21.86
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $30.42
- Potential payout
- $52.01
- Potential profit
- $21.58
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $46.67
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$13.52
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $47.18
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.03
No position
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $11.92
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.08
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$15.58
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $43.48
- Potential payout
- $47.01
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.46
No position
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $25.98
- Potential payout
- $43.3
- Potential profit
- $17.32
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $30.51
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $12.49
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $41.13
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.01
- Potential profit
- $40.01
- User PnL
- -$18
N
No position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $14.45
- Potential payout
- $34.01
- Potential profit
- $19.55
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $27.56
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$12.38
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $19.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $14.72
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Pacquiao position
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $11.79
- Potential payout
- $25.35
- Potential profit
- $13.56
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $19.08
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 59% 6.66 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No 63% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?No 39% 5 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?No 52% 5 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No 52% 5 shares
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 52% 5.09 shares
- Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 44% 6.13 shares
- Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 46% 6.12 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No 34% 8.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 37% 8 shares
- Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.1% 5 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No 60% 5 shares