Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$81.16
Polymarket Trader
EmaMT
0x8d3bc28a69e1787d8a2f457323ee4617204eb567
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.18
- Realized PnL
- $122.3
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $88.3
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $44.02
- Potential payout
- $807.69
- Potential profit
- $763.67
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$63.98
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.65
- Potential profit
- $376.65
- User PnL
- -$201.5
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.02
- Potential profit
- $316.02
- User PnL
- -$119.27
Yes position
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $116.41
- Potential payout
- $221.73
- Potential profit
- $105.32
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $16.41
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$25.3
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.15
- Potential profit
- $198.15
- User PnL
- -$107
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$67.59
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.31
- Potential profit
- $96.31
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.7
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.43
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.05
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $16.76
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.64
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.33
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes 31.4% 97.72 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 8.3% 1,201.36 shares
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No 51.9% 96.31 shares
- Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 45.1% 221.73 shares
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes 51.2% 97.73 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 97.8% 200.41 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 97.3% 100 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No 49% 39.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 65% 100 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 37% 80 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 90% 88 shares