Polymarket Trader

farmbot1336

0x8d40ad6b17fc4b4dcedfa3e7641bedccc747a874

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.8
Realized PnL: $6.69
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ashley Avignone be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $30.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $35.44
Potential payout: $49.92
Potential profit: $14.48
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$2.56

No position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $29.34
Potential payout: $36.45
Potential profit: $7.11
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Current value: $25.52
Potential payout: $29.43
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $21.59

No position

Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $8.91

No position

FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $3

No position

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$9.01

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

Yes 95.1% 20 shares
Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

No 39% 6 shares
Will Ashley Avignone be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 61% 50 shares
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 86% 50 shares
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 85% 50 shares
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Yes 40% 20 shares
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 20 shares
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Yes 39% 20 shares
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

Yes 59% 20 shares
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 83% 50 shares
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

Yes 68% 20 shares
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

Yes 50% 20 shares