No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $605.56
- Potential payout
- $623
- Potential profit
- $17.44
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Polymarket Trader
lastone1111
0x8d4fc53545c009b0387eab9b5105d5efebe8ee2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- $168.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $395.11
- Potential payout
- $396.9
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $106.81
- Potential payout
- $107.08
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $29.58
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.76
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $23.13
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.46
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 27-November 2?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 97.9% 623 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 35 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.4% 396.9 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.4% 395 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No 99% 393.86 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 280 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 285.5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 1,142 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.2% 1,211.71 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98% 1,120.56 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No 99.9% 1,098.15 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No 99.8% 1,098.15 shares