Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $19.35K
- Potential profit
- $15.41K
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.74K
Polymarket Trader
WhenDarknessFalls
0x8d518d74392c455b37efb0596f096a5043f215c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.13K
- Realized PnL
- $510.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $15.41K
- Potential payout
- $19.35K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $5.74K
Y
Yes position
Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be 10-15 HDBs?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- User PnL
- $263.67
No position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $337.14
- Potential payout
- $337.31
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $0.84
Y
Yes position
Will Drew Rasmussen be named to the AL All-Star Team at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $199.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $1.1
Y
Yes position
Will Cam Schlittler be named to the AL All-Star Team at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $123.93
- Potential payout
- $123.99
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.26
Under position
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Under position
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Over position
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
N
No position
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
N
No position
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Over position
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Paraguay be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Paraguay position
Spread: France (-5.5)
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will Paraguay win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Under position
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be 10-15 HDBs?Yes 97% 66 shares
- Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be 10-15 HDBs?Yes 95.9% 2,732 shares
- Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be 10-15 HDBs?Yes 52% 301 shares
- Will Drew Rasmussen be named to the AL All-Star Team at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?Yes 99% 200 shares
- Will Cam Schlittler be named to the AL All-Star Team at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?Yes 99.9% 123.99 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No 99.9% 1,697.21 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No 99.9% 71,659.47 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No 99.9% 20,049.39 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No 99.7% 27,474.48 shares
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No 98.7% 85 shares
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No 99.9% 249 shares
- Will Paraguay win the World Cup?No 99.9% 36.04 shares