Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.61
- Potential profit
- $170.61
- User PnL
- -$114.31
Polymarket Trader
p1wd
0x8d5746c541dbc8f5c0c065ceac8b15e2840dfed0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.22
- Realized PnL
- $549.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.73
- Potential profit
- $117.73
- User PnL
- -$112.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $72.94
- Potential payout
- $78.01
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.15
- Potential profit
- $63.15
- User PnL
- -$50.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $54.99
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.95
- Potential profit
- $29.95
- User PnL
- -$19.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.65
- Potential profit
- $28.65
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.66
- Potential profit
- $27.66
- User PnL
- -$24.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.14
- Potential profit
- $24.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.51
- Potential profit
- $23.51
- User PnL
- -$11.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.43
- Potential profit
- $23.43
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.02
- Potential profit
- $19.02
- User PnL
- -$10.84
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $16.42
- Potential payout
- $17.19
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.9
- Potential profit
- $16.9
- User PnL
- -$13.92
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.86
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Yes position
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
Yes position
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 67% 168.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 96% 104.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 98% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 87.9% 3.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 88.1% 1.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 87.1% 1.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 67.1% 2.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 42% 4.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown 4% 8.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown 34.9% 8.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp 95% 4.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp 90% 4.26 shares