0x973

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $96.94
Potential profit: $93.74
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $29.9
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $35.1
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $59.75
Potential profit: $57.06
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.48
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$7.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $44.38
Potential profit: $42.94
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $41.11
Potential profit: $40.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $37.09
Potential profit: $30.97
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $33.08
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.21
Potential profit: $30.21
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.65
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.8
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $19.12
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $5.87
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $21.16
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $21.14
Potential profit: $17.12
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.88
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.51
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $19.97
Potential profit: $19.47
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $17.58
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $8.63
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.91
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.96

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15?