Polymarket Trader

0x8d6b6c696354383CfE5F2840baab2AE1E859e23c-1767196718899

0x8d6b6c696354383cfe5f2840baab2ae1e859e23c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.95
Realized PnL: -$2.82
Win rate: 35%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.18
Potential profit: $518.18
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.93
Potential profit: $152.93
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.71
Potential profit: $111.71
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 5-11?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.43
Potential profit: $78.43
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.17
Potential profit: $64.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $42.5
Potential profit: $40.16
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $34.88
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.2
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$13.61

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.38
Potential profit: $19.38
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $10.84
Potential payout: $17.2
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.81
Potential profit: $14.81
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $14.5
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$4

No position

UK Recession in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $8.46
Potential payout: $11.75
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

T1 Academy position

LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Vasco Esports position

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$2.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: -$5.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Yes 6% 42.5 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?

No 65% 5.2 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 65% 7 shares
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Yes 68% 9 shares
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 67% 11 shares
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

No 65% 17.2 shares
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.5% 10.76 shares
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

No 57% 5.31 shares
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?

Yes 60% 18 shares
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

No 63% 5.32 shares
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?

Yes 65% 18 shares
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?

Yes 65.5% 22 shares