Polymarket Trader

0xtonox

0x8d6f5847443805f9e42fd3f1993c92d644b93c8a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.03
Realized PnL: $58.32
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $38.79
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$60.08

Yes position

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 46.7%
Current value: $20.43
Potential payout: $43.8
Potential profit: $23.37
Multiplier: 2.14x
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $31.63
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.11

Yes position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Yes 0.9% 241.88 shares
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Yes 8.3% 480.02 shares
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Yes 6.1% 327.15 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 16% 5.48 shares
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 41.1% 43.8 shares
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Yes 8.9% 414.61 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Yes 79% 63.29 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 37% 108.11 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 25% 5.48 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8% 37.5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Yes 77.9% 4.36 shares