Polymarket Trader

Ao2026

0x8d7a04f9761df7376a600f32a730dda671485fcb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.91
Realized PnL: -$45.13
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.04
Potential profit: $909.04
User PnL: -$29.99

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $33.64
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $14.89
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.2
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

No position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 24.6% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 10 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.9% 112 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 23% 9.89 shares
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Yes 28% 5 shares
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Yes 14% 10 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Yes 11.8% 5 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 5.6% 50 shares
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 250 shares