Yes position
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.48K
- Potential profit
- $17.48K
- User PnL
- -$98.34
Polymarket Trader
Realmrjimmy
0x8d7a21359a46bd5c27b2ebf22f1324436e51276f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $957.77
- Realized PnL
- $27.64K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.41K
- Potential profit
- $14.41K
- User PnL
- -$995.24
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $730.24
- Potential payout
- $14.04K
- Potential profit
- $13.31K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$229.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.89K
- Potential profit
- $10.89K
- User PnL
- -$99.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.47K
- Potential profit
- $9.47K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.6K
- Potential profit
- $6.6K
- User PnL
- -$202
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.64K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- User PnL
- -$200.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $5.32K
- User PnL
- -$246.99
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$650
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $191.56
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$289.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- User PnL
- -$170.04
Yes position
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- User PnL
- -$124.62
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$84.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$76.36
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$125.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $33.47
- Potential payout
- $614.14
- Potential profit
- $580.67
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$108.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $464.28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.54
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $295.4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.4
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.92
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.59
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.33
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.76
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.77
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.18
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.06
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.76
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.57
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5.2% 4,427.24 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 4,923.65 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.2% 1,713.34 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.9% 2,640.23 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10.3% 4,692.28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 19,180 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 23.4% 523.61 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.8% 21 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 22% 21.82 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 3% 1,666.67 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares