No position
Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0x8D7BB197dD7aC5a44905e633F04Cb60B44e62A7C-1742389987542
0x8d7bb197dd7ac5a44905e633f04cb60b44e62a7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.17
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$88
Yes position
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$58
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $884
- Potential payout
- $888
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $207.11
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $70.89
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $97.27
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $149
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$53
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 98.4% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 97% 5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 86.4% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.9% 5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 68% 5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 87% 5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 96.8% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 78% 40 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 95% 34 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 95% 34 shares
- Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 0.2% 3,000 shares