Polymarket Trader

xiaobumiemie

0x8d9113fa553906c58b6d5c84296c3631047c00ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.84
Realized PnL: -$14.96
Win rate: 57.9%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $24.47
Potential payout: $25.9
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $17.37
Potential payout: $25.35
Potential profit: $7.99
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.29

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.36

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.07

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 25.35 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 41.66 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 77.2% 25.9 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 73% 13.7 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 50% 34.58 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 97.6% 17.13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 2% 37.03 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 42% 33.81 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

No 94.8% 14.08 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 58% 16.39 shares