Polymarket Trader

RiskyMoolah

0x8da391f364ba9e516cfed5e10f0e1c4d5698c418

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.69
Realized PnL: $36.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $26.22
Potential payout: $74.93
Potential profit: $48.7
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $8.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $28.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.3
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.78
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.91
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.64
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.1
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.4
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.86
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.91
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $19.26
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $18.64
Potential profit: $18.59
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $18.64
Potential profit: $18.56
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.89
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.33
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $5.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?

Yes 12.6% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 8?

Yes 0.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?

Yes 23% 12.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?

Yes 3.9% 13.21 shares