No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.2K
- Potential profit
- $18.2K
- User PnL
- -$17.79K
Polymarket Trader
0x8Da4d0b535b1EB694f79DE7deD3AaF48B3d068B8-1760488556898
0x8da4d0b535b1eb694f79de7ded3aaf48b3d068b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.67
- Realized PnL
- $19.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.97K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- User PnL
- -$5.39K
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$435.3
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $32.67
- Potential payout
- $139
- Potential profit
- $106.34
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $13.38
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129
- Potential profit
- $129
- User PnL
- -$127.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93K
No position
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.14
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.03
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.24
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.84
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.61
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.63
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.74
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.52
No position
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.45
No position
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.12
No position
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.11
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $182.95
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.42
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.26
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.29
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.3
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.24
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.3
No position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No 94.4% 1,446.8 shares
- Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?No 99.6% 695.86 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 98.5% 20.56 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 98% 80 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 97.9% 11.29 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 97.3% 202.18 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 97.3% 1,299.38 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 97.2% 446 shares
- Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?No 99.4% 756 shares
- Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?No 99.4% 91.08 shares
- Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?No 99.5% 240.9 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 93.9% 744.58 shares