No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Polymarket Trader
fire21.mckenzie
0x8daebb5d0221385ed37414052d13c83f821c9c37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.18
- Realized PnL
- $4.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.97
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 44% 5 shares
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 62% 2.9 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 54% 5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 50.5% 2.97 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 55.6% 4.14 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 52.8% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 53% 3.96 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 48% 5 shares