Polymarket Trader

CathayCoof

0x8daf003db7724f1c580bc04ccb81a2434c32d321

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.2
Realized PnL: $820.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $15.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $976.5
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.38
Potential profit: $637.38
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.29
Potential profit: $417.29
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.32
Potential profit: $386.32
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.6
Potential profit: $270.6
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.87
Potential profit: $256.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.21
Potential profit: $202.21
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Khamenei seen in public by March 1?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.61
Potential profit: $87.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $67.31
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $18.04
Potential payout: $73.65
Potential profit: $55.61
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Tesla dip to $345 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $61.15
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$43.58

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

U.S. Recession in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$15

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.03

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.5

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.04

Yes position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?

Ends Jul 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.8

Yes position

Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.7

Yes position

Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.62

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Yes position

Iran Nuke in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?

Ends Jul 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

VP debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.28

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 51% 29.41 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Yes 72% 13.89 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 49% 38.48 shares
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9% 769.23 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 14.8% 270.6 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Yes 6.9% 331.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 50% 38.47 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 53% 37.74 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 5.7% 175.8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 43% 46.51 shares