Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $106
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $4
Polymarket Trader
xfm-7-4
0x8db6b224db862fb01747e2f6c72508a6333c0c23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106
- Realized PnL
- $94.93
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.22
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Apple reach $336 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will Nebius say "Neocloud" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.2
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$101.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?Yes 51% 200 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No 42% 6.79 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes 49% 20 shares
- Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Yes 32% 290 shares
- Will Nebius say "Neocloud" during earnings call?Yes 2% 190 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?Yes 48% 190 shares