Polymarket Trader

MaximusKappa

0x8dc8ee11a91dd7fa607c1046584c3f572614bb54

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $232.2
Realized PnL: $142.08
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $180.09
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 7.43x
User PnL: -$69.9

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $16.65
Potential payout: $39.18
Potential profit: $22.53
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $16.79
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $20.94
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.77
Potential profit: $33.77
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.07
Potential profit: $26.07
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $14.31
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.68
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.27
Potential profit: $6.27
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8
Potential profit: $3.8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.11

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Trump x Xi talk before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Oilers position

Panthers vs. Oilers

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Kristin Cabot out as Astronomer CPO in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Oilers position

Kings vs. Oilers

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

USA position

IIHF Ice Hockey World Championship: Sweden vs. USA

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54.4% 1.84 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 85% 1.18 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 65% 7.69 shares