No position
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $13.43
- Potential payout
- $38.94
- Potential profit
- $25.51
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Polymarket Trader
0x8dcd...a764
0x8dcda45f5bbcbb0bc5c43b6c886e2c63a1dda764
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $22.36
- Realized PnL
- -$11.51
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $16.69
- Potential profit
- $7.76
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$5.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Y
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 36% 38.94 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 62% 21.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No 84% 16.69 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 64% 21.91 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 51% 33.37 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 56% 33.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 22% 21.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 85% 21.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 26?No 92% 20.32 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 44% 21.25 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 47% 40.63 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 46% 40.63 shares