Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $65.38
- Potential payout
- $8.72K
- Potential profit
- $8.65K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$34.6
Polymarket Trader
semantics
0x8dcf7e03c1e09d0c25e7b6fecc9825bce6215668
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.65K
- Realized PnL
- $815.63
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $45.45
- Potential payout
- $8.26K
- Potential profit
- $8.22K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$54.98
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $74.99
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $5.48K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $78.7
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$21.29
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $132.56
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$830.14
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $878.02
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$326.93
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $121.08
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $21.02
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $73.04
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$688.28
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $52.91
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $38.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $228.33
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $66.57
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$33.49
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $397.9
- Potential payout
- $680.16
- Potential profit
- $282.27
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $495.26
- Potential payout
- $603.98
- Potential profit
- $108.72
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $249.92
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $492.91
- Potential payout
- $550.74
- Potential profit
- $57.83
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $36.11
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $216.28
- Potential payout
- $436.93
- Potential profit
- $220.65
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $47.28
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $322.91
- Potential payout
- $356.81
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $22.91
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $257.14
- Potential payout
- $336.13
- Potential profit
- $78.99
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $7.13
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $251.37
- Potential payout
- $274.73
- Potential profit
- $23.35
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $85.99
- Potential payout
- $135.42
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$23.17
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $93.89
- Potential payout
- $119.61
- Potential profit
- $25.72
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $71.69
- Potential payout
- $72.12
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $51.57
- Potential payout
- $58.28
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.87
No position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.53
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.22
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.49
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.33
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.57
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
Bo Nickal position
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
Yes position
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.87
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Manziel position
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Gabriel Bonfim position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Supah Hot position
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 67.57 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 67.57 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 78.17 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 67.57 shares
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 294 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 13.52 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 5% 803.4 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 33% 305.1 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 37 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 56.18 shares