Polymarket Trader

0x8Dd237f53Fad6C242E288e722941E7E69D5E6bA2-1770935306228

0x8dd237f53fad6c242e288e722941e7e69d5e6ba2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.54K
Realized PnL: $364.31
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $865.99
Potential payout: $101.88K
Potential profit: $101.02K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$266.93

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.42K
Potential profit: $20.42K
User PnL: -$31.98

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$31.25

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$33.91

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $76.05
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$43.95

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$220

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $583.33
Potential profit: $575.46
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$62.12

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.06
Potential profit: $531.06
User PnL: -$10

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $81.97
Potential payout: $334.58
Potential profit: $252.61
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$38.03

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $171.32
Potential payout: $287.93
Potential profit: $116.61
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $4.32

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.76
Potential profit: $250.76
User PnL: -$170

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $134.36
Potential payout: $218.47
Potential profit: $84.11
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $16.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.19
Potential profit: $25.19
User PnL: -$12.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.42

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.24

No position

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.54

Yes position

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.46

No position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $61.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $7.61

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23

No position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.78

Yes position

Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 45.7% 580.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 3% 166.67 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 35.9% 334.58 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 58% 287.93 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 54% 218.47 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 49% 25.19 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 12% 583.33 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 44.5% 2,020.53 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9% 26,495.56 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 71.7% 155.86 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 11.4% 1,026.67 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 66% 94.41 shares