No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $14.33
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Polymarket Trader
oosss
0x8dd834e388c9eb8867d09aff3333456c2a884e7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.22
- Realized PnL
- $17.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $3.3
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.19
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $2.42
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $2.18
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.4% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 2.3 shares
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 93% 2.15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 87% 3.45 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 40% 2.5 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 81.44 shares