Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $980.21
- Potential profit
- $980.21
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
0x8DdF430c903B4ADf7FD58690c656803d3166e5d5-1772316856823
0x8ddf430c903b4adf7fd58690c656803d3166e5d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.3
- Realized PnL
- $265.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $605
- Potential profit
- $605
- User PnL
- -$8.05
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.56
- Potential profit
- $180.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $136.36
- Potential profit
- $126.07
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.38
- Potential profit
- $114.38
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.81
- Potential profit
- $113.81
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.22
- Potential profit
- $113.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.97
- Potential profit
- $112.97
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.93
- Potential profit
- $109.93
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.99
- Potential profit
- $102.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.94
- Potential profit
- $99.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.79
- Potential profit
- $79.79
- User PnL
- -$6.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.15
- Potential profit
- $74.15
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.38
- Potential profit
- $68.38
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.64
- Potential profit
- $67.64
- User PnL
- -$7.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goalsYes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 7.69 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 34.7% 15 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares