Polymarket Trader

SaylorMC

0x8de0ee3ce923e4ae28b9745a652797eaea8887a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $250.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56M
Potential profit: $1.56M
User PnL: -$1.56K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29M
Potential profit: $1.29M
User PnL: -$107.19K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $870.31K
Potential profit: $870.31K
User PnL: -$15.02K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621.22K
Potential profit: $621.22K
User PnL: -$25.43K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.57K
Potential profit: $555.57K
User PnL: -$5.05K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.07K
Potential profit: $461.07K
User PnL: -$6.27K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385K
Potential profit: $385K
User PnL: -$3.08K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.86K
Potential profit: $235.86K
User PnL: -$22.33K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.12K
Potential profit: $198.12K
User PnL: -$38.68K

Yes position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.54K
Potential profit: $148.54K
User PnL: -$80.84K

Yes position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.43K
Potential profit: $137.43K
User PnL: -$7.32K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.44K
Potential profit: $129.44K
User PnL: -$32.83K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $85K
User PnL: -$510

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $65K
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.87K
Potential profit: $60.87K
User PnL: -$19.72K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.04K
Potential profit: $46.04K
User PnL: -$38.86K

Yes position

Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$1.88K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.76K
Potential profit: $34.76K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.53K
Potential profit: $34.53K
User PnL: -$6.17K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.96K
Potential profit: $32.96K
User PnL: -$999.98

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.74K
Potential profit: $31.74K
User PnL: -$485.04

Yes position

Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $31K
User PnL: -$169.97

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.91K
Potential profit: $30.91K
User PnL: -$12.2K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.99K

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.68K

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.82K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.72K

Down position

Solana Up or Down on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.48K

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16K

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23K

Down position

Solana Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69K

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24K

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28K

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 84.9% 3,850 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 84.4% 42,187.25 shares
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 1.2% 12,056.97 shares
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 1% 11,496.37 shares
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 41.5% 12,155.94 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 51% 16,596.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 34.4% 987.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Down 30.4% 988.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Down 58.1% 778.14 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 65,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Natus Vincere 78% 403.87 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 51.7% 32,828.04 shares