Yes position
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $747.71
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $564.29
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $301.63
Polymarket Trader
AlexanderDavis4886
0x8de5f64b6466d9ebec97909f78a11762a46f9416
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.82K
- Realized PnL
- $6.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $673.8
- Potential payout
- $969.64
- Potential profit
- $295.84
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $62.99
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.7%
- Current value
- $358.45
- Potential payout
- $546
- Potential profit
- $187.55
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $255.8
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $39.34
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 22 be between 2,700,000 and 2,900,000?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.85
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions position
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigers
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.6
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $443.3
Yes position
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.52
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.62
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.68
Over position
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.4
Yes position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.84
Yes position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.97
Yes position
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.4
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.42
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $240.49
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.49
No position
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.24
No position
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $210.9
Yes position
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190.96
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.93
Yes position
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $167.13
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $142.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.94
Eastern Illinois Panthers position
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.76
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.8
No position
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?No 88% 10 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 68% 239 shares
- Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 93.2% 806 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No 88% 564 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No 87% 30 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No 89% 221 shares
- Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?No 47% 557 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?No 75% 974 shares
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?No 56% 679 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 61% 239 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?No 78% 984 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No 87% 1,001 shares