Polymarket Trader

0x8De97cE949113363e75bE6A43b016F8e63C66018-1770661027431

0x8de97ce949113363e75be6a43b016f8e63c66018

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $496.55
Realized PnL: $1.24K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$178.04

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$76

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$384.1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$530.89

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$13.08

Yes position

Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $931.78
Potential profit: $931.78
User PnL: -$52.05

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $737.01
Potential profit: $737.01
User PnL: -$171.08

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $704.49
Potential profit: $704.49
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.05
Potential profit: $703.05
User PnL: -$22.17

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.99
Potential profit: $537.99
User PnL: -$228.96

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $472.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$52.5

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $69.05
Potential payout: $405.01
Potential profit: $335.95
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: -$196.1

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.96
Potential profit: $399.96
User PnL: -$77.99

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.01
Potential profit: $213.01
User PnL: -$1.78

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $88

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$122.2

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$120

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$32

No position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.99

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.97

Yes position

Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.37

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.53

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.43

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.62

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.43

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 1.2% 200 shares
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 59.2% 168.81 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Yes 94.9% 108.99 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 0.4% 600 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 19.5% 299.99 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 47.8% 200 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 56.2% 135 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

No 32% 110 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

No 93.8% 200 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 65.1% 120 shares
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 3.8% 70 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Yes 5.2% 400.89 shares