Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $4.47K
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.03K
- Multiplier
- 3.47x
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Polymarket Trader
0x8Df23c9e29AB33623725Fe75F5636Fc4DeCd788d-1768771092176
0x8df23c9e29ab33623725fe75f5636fc4decd788d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.86K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.9K
- Win rate
- 31.6%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $86.27
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $614.38
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $796.36
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $368.64
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$131.36
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$187.69
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $163.03
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $244.57
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $283.06
- Potential payout
- $483.87
- Potential profit
- $200.81
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$16.94
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $14.18
- Potential payout
- $457.27
- Potential profit
- $443.1
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$85.82
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $218.85
- Potential payout
- $321.84
- Potential profit
- $102.99
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $18.85
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.42
- Potential profit
- $121.42
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $70.95
- Potential payout
- $81.08
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.95
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $27.86
- Potential profit
- $22.19
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.16
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.63
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.47
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.59
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$14.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41.24
No position
Will Trump say "India" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129.34
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$142.37
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$200.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$710.02
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 53.1% 790.9 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 58.3% 790.91 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes 7.7% 5,883.74 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes 52% 1,585.42 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes 32.6% 4,298.33 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 8.1% 223.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 46% 457.96 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 8.9% 223.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 49.3% 152.16 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 35.9% 27.86 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 74% 81.08 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 49.1% 305.8 shares