Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $674.5
- Potential payout
- $12.38K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$328.35
Polymarket Trader
MattWalker
0x8df634e4ea3b0da1f37b87b26b545f948c689785
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $894.02
- Realized PnL
- $442.31
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $25.91
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$47.83
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $182.02
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$105.38
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $74.29
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $61.92
- Potential profit
- $61.58
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $33.16
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.95
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.74
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.79
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.16
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $16.14
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $9.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 1,513.45 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 750 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 1,762.67 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 5.9% 1,071 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 6% 239 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 8% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 8% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.6% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.6% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 9% 1,000 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 15% 651.99 shares