Yes position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.66K
- Potential profit
- $79.66K
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Polymarket Trader
0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883
@Nine_nights_
0x8df92602ec9c454e8099d9dc4a3f0d21daa0468c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.26K
- Realized PnL
- $58.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.14K
- Potential profit
- $60.14K
- User PnL
- -$160.7
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.93K
- Potential profit
- $22.93K
- User PnL
- -$214.98
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.31K
- Potential profit
- $20.31K
- User PnL
- -$199.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $16.18K
- Potential profit
- $14.8K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$255.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.12K
- Potential profit
- $8.12K
- User PnL
- -$468.88
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.56K
- Potential profit
- $7.56K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55K
- Potential profit
- $7.55K
- User PnL
- -$109
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $184.97
- Potential payout
- $7.55K
- Potential profit
- $7.36K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$15.02
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- User PnL
- -$190.99
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $155.88
- Potential payout
- $5.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $55.89
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $77.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.79K
- Potential profit
- $4.79K
- User PnL
- -$599.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $98.61
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.51K
- User PnL
- -$218.76
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $32.76
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.06K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$257.6
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $242.09
- Potential payout
- $3.72K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$880.9
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- User PnL
- -$214.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.35K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $916.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.63
Yes position
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.01
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $841.99
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.67
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $622.85
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $616.95
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $579.4
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.74
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554
Yes position
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
Yes position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 3,111.11 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 945.24 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 28.4% 300 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 21.5% 239.8 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 21.6% 563.63 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 46% 435.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 43% 465.12 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 60.6% 329.91 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 60% 333.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 307.69 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.9% 1,833.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 23% 434.78 shares