No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $19.51
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $4
Polymarket Trader
0x8e08...fdc3
0x8e08168fe36e6fe718f0ac3b979cee27d424fdc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $107.08
- Realized PnL
- -$14.44
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $22.32
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $13.68
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $28.64
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $23.4
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $13.43
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.4% 25 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 24% 7 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 31% 14 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 12% 18 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.2% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 89.8% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 10.5% 18 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 81% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 81% 17 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 19% 33 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 79% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 81% 16 shares