Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.18K
- Potential profit
- $48.18K
- User PnL
- -$192.71
Polymarket Trader
AlexBarnicoat
0x8e1c04bc841ca031af92beddd0ad3aac34c487c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $314.94
- Realized PnL
- $184.18
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.72K
- Potential profit
- $38.72K
- User PnL
- -$411.21
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.41K
- Potential profit
- $19.41K
- User PnL
- -$593.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.75K
- Potential profit
- $16.75K
- User PnL
- -$85.49
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $314.94
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$69.99
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$77.5
Yes position
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246
- Potential profit
- $246
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.71
- Potential profit
- $132.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.17
- Potential profit
- $103.17
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.97
- Potential profit
- $53.97
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.7
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.22
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.28
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.58
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Yes 22% 1,749.68 shares
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,360 shares
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 48,177.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 0.5% 246 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 0.5% 25,028 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 2.4% 3,882.93 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 2.7% 3,210.51 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 1.5% 7,431.33 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 2.8% 62.24 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 2.9% 6,371.03 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 2.8% 478.21 shares
- Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No 0.1% 30,000 shares