Polymarket Trader

PunxsutawneyPhil

@_Yagami_L1ght

0x8e22f7e80a03a36c80a7fe545369f008fc1e3061

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $427.98
Realized PnL: $26.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $276.65
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $6.91K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$106.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$50.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$164.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.93K
User PnL: -$17.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$13.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $151.32
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$58.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$21.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$66.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$11.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$51.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$111.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$147.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$19.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$86.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$43.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.43
Potential profit: $994.43
User PnL: -$105.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $965.32
Potential profit: $965.32
User PnL: -$63.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $908.13
Potential profit: $908.13
User PnL: -$6.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $896.28
Potential profit: $896.28
User PnL: -$40.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $888
Potential profit: $888
User PnL: -$18.65

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722.61
Potential profit: $722.61
User PnL: -$9.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.65
Potential profit: $620.65
User PnL: -$137.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $570.58
Potential profit: $570.58
User PnL: -$7.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on September 10?

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 9?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $999.4

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $837.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or below on August 20?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $668.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $342.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.45

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67–68°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.36

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.94

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $261.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 18?

Yes 19.4% 181 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Yes 7% 791.44 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 15?

Yes 0.1% 500.28 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 15?

Yes 20.1% 477.61 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 15?

Yes 8.9% 68.67 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?

Yes 1.3% 722.61 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?

Yes 2.1% 1,344.13 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?

Yes 2.3% 215.6 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?

Yes 2.3% 411.4 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?

Yes 2.4% 717.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Yes 95.2% 148.79 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Yes 14.7% 148.79 shares