No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.33K
- Potential profit
- $10.33K
- User PnL
- -$217.41
Polymarket Trader
aoke
@aoke_quant
0x8e300c2755c39b24f1575945775f594d4b92382d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$36.39
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- User PnL
- -$144.68
Yes position
Over $4M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- User PnL
- -$41.85
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$28.49
Top Esports position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$48
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$149.12
Curaçao position
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $982.48
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $845.83
- Potential profit
- $845.83
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695.97
- Potential profit
- $695.97
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $500.02
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.96
- Potential profit
- $491.96
- User PnL
- -$61.24
Yes position
Bitcoin above $114K on August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.07
- Potential profit
- $400.07
- User PnL
- -$51.74
No position
Ethereum above $4200 on September 3?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.64
- Potential profit
- $266.64
- User PnL
- -$77.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.32
- Potential profit
- $260.32
- User PnL
- -$123.66
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.08
- Potential profit
- $258.08
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.26
- Potential profit
- $248.26
- User PnL
- -$24.32
No position
Solana above $190 on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.02
- Potential profit
- $206.02
- User PnL
- -$34.9
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.05
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.93
No position
Will Trump sign a bill into law in his first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.24
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.12
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.56
Up position
Solana Up or Down on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.27
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.45
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.62
No position
Ethereum above $4200 on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.32
Up position
XRP Up or Down on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.67
Yes position
TikTok banned in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Will $TRUMP hit $10B FDV by Sunday?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Bitcoin above $114K on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98
No position
Bitcoin above $114K on August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.58
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Bybit hacker return stolen ETH by next Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.65
Down position
XRP Up or Down on August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.63
Down position
Solana Up or Down on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 11% 100 shares
- Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 19% 50 shares
- Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 17% 49.99 shares
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 19% 50 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 50.77 shares
- Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 12% 80 shares
- Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 9% 111.11 shares