Polymarket Trader

karafasan

0x8e371e2a8a433d9b705cc3c6e962fd1edd9bdeb2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $709.35
Realized PnL: -$7.99K
Win rate: 34.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $4.04K
User PnL: -$2.02K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$2K

Over position

Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$1.07K

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $709.35
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $444.06
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $230.97

Over position

West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$517

Over position

Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$498

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Over position

Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $978.94

Over position

Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.98

Over position

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $778.7

Over position

Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $704.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 15-21?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$132

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$782.96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.51K

No position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.89K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.63K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

No 0.1% 6,908.42 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 41.5% 1,153.41 shares
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Over 48% 1,077.08 shares
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

No 22% 7 shares
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Over 48% 1,037.5 shares
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

No 18% 8.46 shares
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 1,706.46 shares
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 1,710.41 shares
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5

Over 58.6% 1,706.46 shares
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Over 54.4% 1,710.41 shares
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Over 55% 1,945.45 shares
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

Over 50% 4,036 shares